The Effect of Opening is Already Showing Up in the Numbers

If you know where to look.

Amid widespread speculation that relaxing stay-at-home orders would reverse the progress made in stemming the transmission of COVID-19, an analysis of recent trends shows that those fears are justified.

Although many states have just begun to re-open their economies and decrease restrictions on businesses and social gatherings, the effect of those changes is already quite clear. For the first time since I began tracking the number cases and deaths in the 84…